Family – Final Day Scenarios

Fast-paced and surprising first half of the Sugar Bowl with Ohio State up 35-14 over Clemson!

Assuming the Buckeyes hold serve for the win (96.9% probability), Paden is eliminated and we are down to 5 heading into tomorrow’s final games: Jenny, Matt, Vivian, Alexander & Pop.

Here is a preview of how tomorrow plays out listed by probability. The couple instances with ties will go to the tie-breaker rules.

If Clemson defies the odds and wins the Sugar Bowl, then Paden & the 5 others remain alive and I will provide an update Saturday morning.

– The Commish

Family – 3 games today!

Happy New Year to all and 21st to Noah!!!!

Jenny heads in 2021 with a one game lead. 6 have been eliminated from a top 2 slot: Channe/Kyler, Ella, Gabby, Heather, Lance & Rhett. Newcomers Channe/Kyler were dealt a unique mathematical ti-breaker elimination with a win in the Armed Forces Bowl because Tulsa lost by less than 3 points.

Today’s 3 back-to-back games will narrow down the current field of 9.

We’re at halftime of the 1st game with Cincinnati upsetting Georgia 14 -10. Here are the scenarios for the Peach Bowl results.

  • Cincy win: London joins Jenny in 1st. Papa eliminated. Vivian (4+ pt win) or Noah (<3 pt win) eliminated based on tie-breaker.
  • Georgia win: Jenny solo 1st. Birthday Boy eliminated. London (14+ pt win) or Papa (< 13 pt win) eliminated based on tie-breaker

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